[Home ] [Archive]   [ فارسی ]  
:: Main :: About :: Current Issue :: Archive :: Search :: Submit :: Contact ::
Main Menu
Home::
Journal Information::
Articles archive::
For Authors::
For Reviewers::
Registration::
Contact us::
Site Facilities::
Indexing::
::
Search in website

Advanced Search
..
Receive site information
Enter your Email in the following box to receive the site news and information.
..
Last site contents
:: New Journal website launched
..
Last contents of other sections
..
:: Volume 3, Issue 10 (11-2016) ::
2016, 3(10): 11-23 Back to browse issues page
Forecasting Cost of Civil Engineering Projects Using ANN and EVA
Farshad Peyman , Ahmad Fathi
Department of Civil, Ahvaz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran. , f.peyman@iauahvaz.ac.ir
Abstract:   (4540 Views)

Compared to the preliminary forecasted values, the fluctuation in the final cost and time of civil engineering projects is an issue exists in all of the countries in the world. These fluctuations will possibly result in many claims; therefore, they should be controlled. Forecasting is an important tool for controlling the fluctuations in the cost and time of a project. One of the standard methods for forecasting the time and cost of a project is the earned value analysis; also, modeling with the help of artificial neural networks is another standard forecasting method which is currently popular. In this paper, a model is created by considering several variables from the basic variables and the performance indices of the EVA as input variables without using any type of coding and only using the nftool in Matrix Laboratory software. Without any affiliation on the type of project, this model is capable of forecasting the cost of projects whose cost is higher than the budget (most of the civil engineering projects executed in Iran); the model does so with a higher accuracy compared to the cost forecast relations in the EVA. It should be noted that two water transmission channel projects and two dam projects (executed in Iran) were used to experiment this model. The findings of this experiment showed that the model is highly accurate.

Keywords: Forecasting Cost, Civil Engineering Projects, ANN, EVA, Matrix Laboratory Software.
Full-Text [PDF 4463 kb]   (1703 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: مدیریت پروژه و روش اجرا
Send email to the article author

Add your comments about this article
Your username or Email:

CAPTCHA


XML   Persian Abstract   Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Peyman F, Fathi A. Forecasting Cost of Civil Engineering Projects Using ANN and EVA. Iranian Dam and Hydroelectric Powerplant 2016; 3 (10) :11-23
URL: http://journal.hydropower.org.ir/article-1-123-en.html


Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Volume 3, Issue 10 (11-2016) Back to browse issues page
نشریه سد و نیروگاه برق آبی Journal of Dam and Hydroelectric Powerplant
Persian site map - English site map - Created in 0.06 seconds with 38 queries by YEKTAWEB 4660